What is the current YES price?

YES trades at 38¢ and NO trades at 62¢. Prices represent implied probability and range from 0¢ to 100¢.

What does the market pay out?

Each YES share pays $1 USDC if the market resolves YES, $0 otherwise. NO shares are the inverse. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon.

🗳️ Politics ends in 13d 18h

Will Vijay's TVK win 10 or more seats in the 2026 TN Assembly election?

Volume $416.7k Liquidity $52.8k 1482 traders Closes Mon, 04 May 2026 14:00:00 UTC

YES

38¢

62¢

About this market

Actor Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam is contesting its first Assembly election. Opinion polls show ~20% vote share. Resolves YES if TVK wins ≥10 of 234 seats per final ECI result on 4 May 2026.

Resolution source

results.eci.gov.in

Resolution deadline

Mon, 04 May 2026 14:00:00 UTC

Criteria: ECI final result lists TVK as winner in ≥10 Assembly constituencies.

Recent activity

live

YES 0x8a…92f1 bought 420 shares @ 38¢

12s ago

NO 0x21…ab03 bought 180 shares @ 62¢

1m ago

YES 0xff…1254 bought 50 shares @ 37¢

3m ago

NO 0xc4…77ae bought 900 shares @ 64¢

4m ago

YES 0x09…1aa3 bought 1240 shares @ 36¢

7m ago

YES 0xa2…ef10 bought 75 shares @ 37¢

12m ago

Top holders

1 0x8a…92f1 YES

12,450 shares

2 0xc4…77ae NO

9,820 shares

3 0x09…1aa3 YES

7,110 shares

4 0xff…1254 YES

5,280 shares

5 0x21…ab03 NO

4,650 shares